NFL win projections: Three teams poised to beat expectations

The Athletic's staffers weighed in on whether each NFL team will exceed or fall short of their statistically projected win totals for 2026. Last year, eight of 12 dissenting writers were correct, and this year's list again includes 12 dissenting voices. The Broncos, Steelers, and Texans are highlighted as teams likely to outperform their projections based on roster improvements and coaching.

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The Athletic's annual win-total exercise features 12 dissenting writers this year, matching last year's count when eight of those dissenters proved correct. Denver exceeded a 9.2-win projection by winning 14 games, while Pittsburgh and Houston also surpassed their marks. All three teams are again projected to outperform their 2026 statistical baselines, with writers citing Denver's coaching stability, Pittsburgh's improved play callers, and Houston's defensive additions.

Cleveland's quarterback situation drew sharp criticism after Deshaun Watson was named starter over Shedeur Sanders. Watson has struggled for over five years, expressed no regret about his past, and complained about Browns fans. The decision was announced shortly after a disastrous Watson press conference, with columnist Jason Lloyd noting the coaching staff attached itself to a toxic