USC's 2026 Season: Game-by-Game Predictions

The No. 14 USC Trojans open their season against San Jose State with high expectations for a College Football Playoff berth. The article predicts a dominant win in the opener, followed by a victory over Fresno State. Coach Lincoln Riley's team faces a challenging schedule but is expected to overcome tests.
USC enters its fifth season under Lincoln Riley ranked No. 14, with quarterback Jayden Maiava returning and Gary Patterson newly installed as defensive coordinator. The Trojans' non-conference slate includes San Jose State, Fresno State, and Louisiana, with USC holding a perfect 6-0 all-time record against the Spartans. San Jose State finished 3-9 last year and will start Hawaii transfer Luke Weaver at quarterback, while Fresno State arrives off a nine-win campaign and is joining the Pac-12 this season.
The Big Ten road opener at Rutgers marks a critical early test, as road victories have been a persistent challenge during Riley's USC tenure. Louisiana, the third non-conference opponent, went 6-7 in 2025. The schedule is considered among the toughest in college football, with the program aiming for its first College Football Playoff appearance.
This story may resonate with college football fans and alumni who track playoff contention, as USC's success or failure could shape perceptions of the expanded Big Ten's competitive balance. A strong season could boost program recruiting and fan engagement, while a stumble may intensify scrutiny of Riley's leadership. The predictions also reflect broader trends in conference realignment and the growing importance of non-conference scheduling in playoff selection.