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Sports · College sports · published 2026-08-27 · via Sports Illustrated

Baylor's Season Outlook: Athletic's Projections Align with Fan Expectations

Image via Sports Illustrated
Image via Sports Illustrated

The Athletic projects Baylor to finish 55th nationally with a 2% chance to win the Big 12, expecting modest improvement from last year's 83rd-place finish. The site highlights quarterback DJ Lagway as a key storyline and lists running back Dawson Pendergrass as the pivotal player. Coach Dave Aranda faces pressure to reach bowl eligibility to secure his job.

Expanded Detail

The Athletic's projection places Baylor at 55th nationally, a modest climb from last year's 83rd finish. The site gives the Bears a 2% chance at a Big 12 title and 5.3% odds for the College Football Playoff. Quarterback DJ Lagway, a former five-star recruit transferring from Florida, anchors the team's offensive hopes.

Running back Dawson Pendergrass returns healthy after a solid 2024 campaign and is expected to lead the backfield. Coach Dave Aranda carries a 36-37 career record and faces a pivotal season, with bowl eligibility likely necessary to retain his position. The opener against Auburn in Mercedes-Benz Stadium offers an early measuring stick.

Context

This prediction piece reflects the broader pressures facing college football programs in the transfer portal era. Baylor's season could influence recruiting momentum, alumni engagement, and athletic department revenue. The outcome may also shape coaching stability discussions across the Big 12, as programs weigh patience against performance expectations. Fans and local businesses in Waco could feel ripple effects from the team's success or struggles.

Expanded detail and Context are AI-generated analysis; the linked article remains the authoritative source.
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This summary is Al-enhanced to contain extended analysis and broader social context. The original is {NAME); the linked article is the authoritative source. Original headline: “Is The Athletic's Prediction of Baylor's Season Valid or Invalid?.” Browse more stories.