Texas opens as 30.5-point favorite in in-state matchup with Texas State
No. 5 Texas hosts Texas State on Sept. 5, with the Longhorns listed as 30.5-point favorites. Texas averaged 30.5 points per game last year, while Texas State allowed 29.0. Texas State's offense averaged 36.5 points per game, 16.2 more than Texas allowed.
Texas enters the season opener with a 30.5-point spread, reflecting last year’s defensive gap: the Longhorns allowed just 20.3 points per game while Texas State gave up 29.0. However, the Bobcats’ offense was potent, averaging 36.5 points and 472.8 yards per game—both figures well above what Texas’s defense typically surrendered. The game airs on ESPN at 3:30 p.m. ET from DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, with streaming via Fubo and tickets through StubHub.
This lopsided in-state matchup may shape early-season perceptions for both programs. For Texas, a dominant win could reinforce its top-five ranking and playoff credentials, while a closer-than-expected game might raise questions about defensive consistency. For Texas State, a competitive showing against a powerhouse could boost program visibility and recruiting interest, even in a likely loss. The large spread also reflects how betting markets and fans weigh conference prestige against smaller-school potential.