Fantasy Draft Value: Where to Target Underrated Playmakers
The article emphasizes that sleepers and breakouts only matter if their draft cost aligns with production. It suggests targeting Washington running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt in the ninth round, noting his potential in an improved offense. Quarterback Kyler Murray is also highlighted as an 11th-round value pick for the Vikings.
The article's central argument is that a player's label—sleeper, breakout, or bust—only carries meaning when weighed against their draft position. A player drafted too early loses sleeper status regardless of talent, while a player drafted late can outperform expectations simply by exceeding a modest cost. This framing shifts fantasy strategy from simply identifying talent to calculating value relative to market perception.
Croskey-Merritt's case illustrates this principle well. Despite modest receiving involvement and a Washington offense that struggled to score in 2025, he produced 873 scrimmage yards and eight touchdowns as a rookie. The addition of Rachaad White for passing downs and a new zone-blocking scheme could actually help him, since his existing workload remains intact while the offense improves around him.
This story could influence how millions of fantasy football participants approach their drafts, potentially reshaping spending habits and league dynamics. When players like Murray or Croskey-Merritt are identified as late-round values, casual managers may gain an edge over those relying on outdated rankings. This could deepen engagement with the NFL season, as more participants feel invested in tracking under-the-radar players. However, it may also create unrealistic expectations for these athletes, whose actual performance depends on factors beyond draft cost, such as injuries and team chemistry.