Spain visit England for Nations League opener at Wembley

Spain, the reigning world champions, travel to Wembley to face England in their UEFA Nations League Group A3 opener. The match is a rematch of the Euro 2024 final, which Spain won 2-1. Opta's model gives Spain a 40.2% chance of victory, England 33.6%, and a draw 26.2%.
Spain enter this Group A3 opener as world champions and 2023 Nations League winners, after finishing second to Portugal in 2025. England were third in the competition’s first edition and return to League A by winning Group B2. Croatia and Czechia are also in the group. The Wembley match is a rematch of the Euro 2024 final, which Spain won 2-1 in Berlin.
Opta’s model favours Spain at 40.2%, with England at 33.6% and a draw at 26.2%. In 28 previous meetings, England hold 13 wins to Spain’s 11, with four draws; six of the most recent nine went Spain’s way. England’s recent run is W-L-W-W-W, while Spain’s is W-W-W-W-W.
A high-profile England-Spain fixture at Wembley could draw large domestic and international audiences, affecting fans, broadcasters, and London businesses near the stadium. Early Nations League results may shape public expectations and media narratives around both teams. For players, a