US heat pump demand persists without federal tax credits
Federal incentives for heat pumps have ended, but American demand has not collapsed. Shipment data from the first half of 2026 show continued strength, putting the technology on pace to equal or beat its previous high, according to a recent report. The story is part of Canary Media's Chart of the Week series.
Federal tax credits for heat pumps have ended in the United States. Even so, demand for the equipment has not fallen sharply, according to a recent report.
Shipment figures from the first half of 2026 show sustained activity. That pace puts heat pumps on track to match or surpass their earlier peak. The findings appear in Canary Media's Chart of the Week series.
If heat pump demand keeps pace without federal tax credits, homeowners, installers, manufacturers, and utilities could be affected. Continued shipments may support jobs and supply chains, while households may still choose heat pumps for reasons beyond incentives. The trend could influence building energy use and emissions, but its broader social and environmental impact remains uncertain and would depend on many factors.