Qatar's solar push expected to lift renewable capacity share by 2035
GlobalData forecasts that renewables will account for 25.9% of Qatar's installed power capacity by 2035, up from 12% in 2025. Solar expansion is expected to drive this growth, with a 12.4% compound annual growth rate over the decade. Natural gas is still projected to make up about 74% of cumulative installed capacity in 2035, supporting both electricity and water desalination.
GlobalData expects renewables to make up 25.9% of Qatar's installed electricity capacity in 2035, up from 12% in 2025. Solar is forecast to expand by 12.4% yearly on a compounded basis over the decade, supported by facilities such as Al Kharsaah, Ras Laffan, Mesaieed, and Dukhan. The national renewable strategy and a planned 4GW 2030 target frame this effort.
Gas is still projected to represent roughly 74% of cumulative installed capacity in 2035. Combined-cycle and cogeneration gas plants are expected to supply on-demand electricity, particularly for peak summer air-conditioning, while also enabling water desalination. Flexible gas capacity and improved network coordination are seen as prerequisites for integrating more solar without undermining reliability.
Qatar’s growing solar share could gradually alter how households, businesses, and public services receive electricity, potentially reducing reliance on gas-only generation over time. Since gas is still expected to anchor power and desalinated water output, residents may continue to depend on stable supplies, especially in hot summers. Utilities and grid operators may face new balancing responsibilities as solar expands, while the 2030 renewable target could shape energy investment and network planning.