Trudy threatens Mexico with heavy rain as Guam watches another typhoon
The eastern Pacific has already set a full-season record for accumulated cyclone energy, reaching 331 by October 15, with 22 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and nine major hurricanes in 2026. Hurricane Trudy, near Mexico's Pacific coast, is forecast to rapidly intensify into a major hurricane before weakening as it nears shore, bringing heavy rain to Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco. Guam is also preparing for another typhoon as Pacific activity remains unusually high.
By mid-October 2026, the eastern Pacific had reached 331 ACE, exceeding the 2018 full-season mark of 318. The basin had produced 22 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and nine major hurricanes, including three Category 5s. Normally, about two more named storms, one major, would follow after October 15.
Trudy is projected to become a Category 3 by Friday and Category 4 on Saturday, then weaken Sunday near Mexico's coast. It may drench Guerrero and Michoacan, then Colima and Jalisco, with 4-8 inches and isolated 12-inch totals. Simon killed two people and prompted 5,000 evacuations. Champi could strike Guam and the Northern Marianas this weekend.
Residents and travelers in Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Guam, and the Northern Marianas may face flooding, mudslides, power outages, and disrupted transport if heavy rain and typhoon conditions materialize. Emergency services could be stretched by evacuations, as seen after Simon. Coastal communities and agriculture may suffer losses, while forecast uncertainty means preparations could be costly but potentially life-saving.